Security risks of climate change: Case study of Belgrade

Abstract

Based on the negative impact of climate change, the aim of quantitative research is to examine models for predicting the impact of demographic and sociocultural factors on citizens' attitudes to security risks of climate change. Using the random sample method, during the 2019, a survey of citizens was conducted in Belgrade's central square and included 438 respondents. The results of the research show that the conceived prediction model is statistically significant, and that the attitude of the respondents is influenced by different predictors, the most important of which is the level of education, age and sex of the respondents. Starting from the obtained research results, it is necessary to devise and implement educational programs for improving the awareness of citizens about the negative implications of climate change.

Polazeći od negativnih uticaja klimatskih promena, cilj kvantitativnog istraživanja predstavlja ispitivanje modela za predikciju uticaja demografskih i socio-kulturnih faktora na stavove građana o bezbednosnim rizicima klimatskih promena. Korišćenjem metode slučajnog uzorka, u toku 2019. godine, sprovedeno je anketiranje građana na centralnom gradskom trgu u Beogradu i obuhvaćeno je 438 ispitanika. Rezultati istraživanja pokazuju da je koncipirani predikcioni model statistički značajan, kao i da na stavove ispitanika utiču različiti prediktori od kojih su najznačajniji nivo obrazovanja, godine starosti i pol ispitanika. Polazeći od dobijenih rezultata istraživanja, potrebno je osmisliti i implementirati edukativne programe unapređivanja svesti građana o negativnim implikacijama klimatskih promena.