Causality of deployment of missile defense shield elements in Romania and militarization of the Crimean Peninsula

Abstract

The deployment of NATO missile defense shield (EuroPRO) elements in Eastern Europe determines explicitly the so-called strong security of Russia and it represents a serious disruptive factor in its relations with the West. In such context, in the last three years the Ukrainian crisis has additionally complicated and actualized security situation because it turned out that, besides internal factors, it is largely influenced by some external factors, as well. In March 2014 Crimea unilaterally separated from Ukraine and it was joined to Russia whereas an armed conflict between central authorities and armed formations of rebellious pro-Russian population started in the parts of Donetsk and Luhansk. Ukraine accused Russia of the annexation of Crimea; their relations were reduced to minimum and in the last three years they have remained such tendency. The change of Crimean status has largely aggravated the relations of Russia with Western countries, which resulted in complex political and security situation in the Black Sea Region, which threatens to disintegrate the whole system of regional stability with potential implications for global security, as well. The deployment of EuroPRO elements in Romania and militarization of the Crimean Peninsula affect to a great extent regional stability of that part of the old continent and they represent one of essential destabilizing factors that is in direct correlation with a high level of entropy of the European political and security system.

Razmeštanje elemenata protivraketnog štita NATO ('EvroPRO') na prostoru Istočne Evrope eksplicitno determiniše tzv. čvrstu bezbednost Rusije i predstavlja ozbiljan remetilački faktor u njenim odnosima sa Zapadom. U tom kontekstu ukrajinska kriza je u poslednje tri godine samo dodatno usložila i aktuelizovala bezbednosnu situaciju, jer se pokazalo da nju, pored unutrašnjih činilaca, u znatnoj meri opredeljuju i pojedini eksterni faktori. Krim se, marta 2014. godine, jednostrano izdvojio iz sastava Ukrajine i pripojio Rusiji, dok je u delovima Donjecke i Luganske oblasti počeo oružani sukob centralnih vlasti i oružanih formacija pobunjenog proruskog stanovništva. Ukrajina je optužila Rusiju da je anektirala Krim; njihovi odnosi redukovani su na minimum i u poslednje tri godine zadržali su takvu tendenciju. Promena statusa Krima znatno je pogoršala i odnose Rusije sa zapadnim državama, što je prouzrokovalo stvaranje složene političko-bezbednosne situacije u Crnomorskom regionu, koja preti da dezintegriše celokupni sistem regionalne stabilnosti , sa mogućim implikacijama i na globalnu bezbednost. Razmeštanje elemenata 'EvroPRO' na prostoru Rumunije i militarizacija Krimskog poluostrva znatno utiču na regionalnu stabilnost tog dela starog kontinenta i predstavljaju jedan od suštinskih destabilizirajućih faktora koji je u direktnoj korelaciji sa visokim stepenom entropije evropskog političko-bezbednosnog sistema.