Applying fact analysis on security phenomena in the sphere of white-collar crime

Abstract

The paper offers an example of fact analysis, performed to survey the structure, dynamics and possible prediction of developments regarding the observed security phenomenon - in this case, white-collar criminal acts in the territory of the Republic of Srpska in the 1996-2005 period. The observation period is interesting for analyzing because it includes the period of ending armed conflicts in the territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina (and the establishing of the Republic of Srpska as an entity), as well as years of reform processes and democratic changes in the state. The paper presents the results and conclusions referring to the influence of both internal (prosecution activities, police efficiency, penal policy, etc.) and external (state of economy, the country itself, that of neighboring countries, etc.) factors on the observed phenomenon.

U radu se prikazuje primer primene faktološke analize, radi sagledavanja strukture, dinamike i eventualne predikcije ponašanja odabrane bezbednosne pojave - krivičnih dela privrednog kriminala, u periodu od 1996. do 2005. godine, na području Republike Srpske. Navedeni period je interesantan za analizu jer obuhvata vreme od prestanka ratnih sukoba na teritoriji Bosne i Hercegovine (pravnog uspostavljanja Republike Srpske kao entiteta), kao i godine reformskih procesa i demokratskih promena u državi. U radu su predstavljeni rezultati i zaključci o uticaju unutrašnjih (rad organa gonjenja, efikasnost policije, kaznena politika i dr.) i spoljašnjih (stanje ekonomije, privrede, države, stanje u državama u okruženju, ponašanje samih građana i dr.) faktora na analiziranu pojavu.